Rarity scan: Non member bows and New year's party hats

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Requested by Anonymous, here's another rarity scan!
New year's party hats
New year's party hats were monthly member gifts during January 2012 to celebrate the new year. They come in the following colours:

Credit to Animal Jam flash ^.^
Red is the 'default' colour, whilst pink is the least popular. Green, orange, yellow and purple are also not very popular which leaves the blue and white to be pretty popular ^.^
These should be in the diamond shop soon, which is why Jammers don't trade a lot for these. But because they have the rare plaque, when the party hats do come out, their rarity may rise significantly. There is probably around 50,000 of these (I think there's more :P)

I would say a fair trade is:

• 2 rare giant lion plushies.
• 4 rare non member bows and arrows.
• 2 rocking horses.
• A small table for 3 party hats.

Rare bows and arrows
Every Jammer got one in December 2011, so there should be over 2,500,000 of these.
Well I can't find a picture... sorry DX
They come in Pink, green, brown/orange, black,silver,purple and teal. There is also a special magenta colour. I had it once.
A fair trade would be 2 non member gloves.
Another fair trade wou